- Tied in Polls: President Biden and former President Trump are tied in the polls, according to a New York Times/Siena College poll, with both receiving 43% in a hypothetical rematch.
- Serious Federal Crimes: 51% of those polled think Trump has committed “serious federal crimes.”
- Threat to Democracy: 53% believe that Trump’s actions after the 2020 election “threatened American democracy.”
- Favorable Views: 41% of registered voters have a favorable view of Trump, while 43% feel the same about Biden.
- Undecided Voters: In the hypothetical rematch, 14% of voters did not prefer either candidate, with 10% saying they would vote for another candidate or not vote at all.
- MAGA Base Support: Trump’s MAGA base overwhelmingly backs his grievances against federal prosecutors, with zero percent of the 319 respondents in this category saying Trump had committed serious federal crimes.
- Criminal Indictments: Trump faces two criminal indictments, with the prospect of two more in the coming days.
- Biden’s Democratic Support: Biden has shored up support among Democratic voters, with 45% of Democratic primary voters saying they think the party should nominate him in 2024.
- Concerns About Biden’s Age: The top reason Democratic voters would want someone other than Biden is his age, as he would be 86 by the end of a second term.
- Approval Ratings: Biden’s approval rating is at 39%, while Trump is the frontrunner in the 2024 Republican primary, leading Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis by 31 percentage points.
- Trump’s Legal Troubles: Trump’s lead in the Republican primary comes even as he faces mounting legal troubles.
- Nearest GOP Competitor: The nearest third-place candidate in the Republican primary is at 3%.
