Former President Donald J. Trump is significantly leading his rivals for the Republican presidential nomination, according to the first New York Times/Siena College poll of the 2024 campaign. Trump’s lead over his nearest challenger, Governor Ron DeSantis of Florida, is a landslide 37 percentage points nationally among the likely Republican primary electorate.
The survey found that Trump held decisive advantages across almost every demographic group and region, and in every ideological wing of the party. This includes wide margins among men and women, younger and older voters, moderates and conservatives, those who went to college and those who didn’t, and in cities, suburbs, and rural areas. Republican voters seem to have waved away concerns about Trump’s escalating legal jeopardy.
The poll also revealed that GOP primary voters see Trump as stronger and more electable than DeSantis. The results were based on a New York Times/Siena College poll conducted from July 23-27, 2023. The findings indicate a strong preference for Trump within the Republican Party, despite the charges and legal challenges he faces.